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Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Dallas Cowboys vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 62.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Vikings being a -5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 60.5% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (38.0 per game) this year.
  • With a sizeable 96.6% Route Participation% (99th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson ranks among the wideouts with the highest volume in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by the projection model to call just 63.8 offensive plays in this game: the 11th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 51.5 plays per game.
  • Justin Jefferson has put up quite a few less air yards this year (91.0 per game) than he did last year (104.0 per game).
  • Justin Jefferson has posted a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (57.0) this season than he did last season (89.0).
  • Justin Jefferson's 58.2% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a remarkable decrease in his receiving skills over last season's 68.4% mark.

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