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Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 61.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.57 seconds per play.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

With a remarkable 97.2% Route Participation% (99th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson stands as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in the NFL.

In this game, Justin Jefferson is expected by the model to position himself in the 98th percentile among wideouts with 10.5 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Justin Jefferson has compiled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (66.0) this year than he did last year (89.0).

Justin Jefferson's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 68.4% to 59.9%.

Justin Jefferson's 7.9 adjusted yards per target this year shows a remarkable reduction in his receiving prowess over last year's 10.1 mark.

Justin Jefferson's skills in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, totaling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.73 figure last season.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. WRs this year, surrendering 7.39 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in football.

More Justin Jefferson Player Props

Justin Jefferson Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12