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Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 82.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 80.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 82.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.
  • As far as a defense's effect on pace, at 27.85 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Minnesota Vikings as the 10th-fastest in football (in a neutral context) at the moment.
  • With a high 99.1% Route% (100th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson rates among the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
  • The leading projections forecast Justin Jefferson to total 10.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Justin Jefferson checks in as one of the most efficient receivers in the league, averaging an outstanding 10.23 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 94th percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • After totaling 139.0 air yards per game last year, Justin Jefferson has regressed heavily this year, now boasting 107.0 per game.
  • Justin Jefferson's 87.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year conveys a noteable regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 103.0 rate.
  • This year, the imposing Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered a paltry 133.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 7th-fewest in the league.
  • This year, the strong Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a feeble 7.7 yards.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's safety corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 5th-best in football.

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