reorder

Justin Herbert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Justin Herbert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+440/-510).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +600 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +440.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 61.3% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.

The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.7% red zone pass rate.

The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a massive 61.1 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The projections expect Justin Herbert to attempt 35.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 9th-most among all quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.

The projections expect the Chargers to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The model projects Justin Herbert to be much more involved in his team's rushing attack near the goal line in this contest (11.5% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (5.3% in games he has played).

In regards to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Chargers ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Pittsburgh's unit has been dreadful this year, grading out as the worst in football. in football.

More Justin Herbert Player Props

Justin Herbert TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Justin Herbert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10