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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

Justin Herbert TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 61.8% of their downs: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a massive 59.3 per game on average).

The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In this week's contest, Justin Herbert is expected by the model to have the 7th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.3.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (38.3 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chargers are expected by the model to run just 62.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.

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