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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chargers being an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
  • In this week's game, Justin Herbert is expected by the projections to earn the 8th-most carries out of all QBs with 5.0.
  • Justin Herbert has been a much bigger part of his offense's running game this season (16.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (11.4%).
  • Justin Herbert has rushed for substantially more yards per game (30.0) this year than he did last year (19.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-least run-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 35.1% run rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have only 126.4 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

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