My Account Log Out
 
 
Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average).
  • Justin Herbert's 25.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year illustrates an impressive improvement in his rushing ability over last year's 19.0 mark.
  • With an excellent tally of 7.3 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (83rd percentile), Justin Herbert stands among the top rushing quarterbacks in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 4th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 38.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • The Minnesota defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™