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Justin Herbert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a mere 28.14 seconds per play, the Los Angeles Chargers offense ranks as the 10th-fastest paced in the league (context-neutralized) this year.

Justin Herbert's 25.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season reflects an impressive boost in his running ability over last season's 19.0 mark.

Justin Herbert's rushing effectiveness has gotten better this year, averaging 8.28 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 6.89 figure last year.

The Colts linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Chargers as the 4th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 38.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

More Justin Herbert Player Props

Justin Herbert Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7