My Account Log Out
 
 
Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+110/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast Justin Herbert to garner 5.9 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 6th-most out of all quarterbacks.
  • Our trusted projections expect Justin Herbert to be a much bigger part of his team's run game in this game (22.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (12.8% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Chargers as the 9th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 41.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are anticipated by the model to call just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 11th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • Justin Herbert's 5.69 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year indicates a meaningful regression in his rushing skills over last year's 6.89 figure.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™