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Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Chargers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.5 plays per game.The predictive model expects Justin Herbert to notch 4.9 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the 8th-most among all QBs.After taking on 11.4% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Justin Herbert has played a bigger part in the run game this season, currently making up 16.5%.Justin Herbert has run for quite a few more yards per game (27.0) this season than he did last season (19.0).With an exceptional rate of 6.9 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (93rd percentile), Justin Herbert places among the best running QBs in football this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chargers to run on 39.9% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.Given the game dynamics and traits of each team, the predictive model expects this game (with an average of 26.63 seconds per play) will have the 11th-slowest tempo on the slate this week.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
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