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Justin Herbert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.

In this game, Justin Herbert is projected by the predictive model to earn the 7th-most rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 4.7.

After making up 11.4% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Justin Herbert has been more involved in the rushing attack this season, now making up 16.5%.

Justin Herbert has run for many more yards per game (29.0) this year than he did last year (19.0).

With an impressive tally of 7.2 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (93rd percentile), Justin Herbert stands among the best rushing QBs in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers as the 9th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 40.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Chargers to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally lead to increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Philadelphia's group of DTs has been excellent this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

More Justin Herbert Player Props

Justin Herbert Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14