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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Chargers, who are a heavy favorite by 9.5 points.
  • The Chargers have run the most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.0 plays per game.
  • The model projects Justin Herbert to garner 5.1 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 9th-most out of all quarterbacks.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles rank as the 4th-worst collection of DTs in football this year in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-least run-centric offense in the league (35.6% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Chargers.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have only 121.8 plays on offense called: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally mean better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced run volume.

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