reorder

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical game plan.

The largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a whopping 61.6 per game on average).

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Our trusted projections expect Justin Herbert to garner 5.1 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-most among all quarterbacks.

Justin Herbert has been a much bigger part of his offense's ground game this year (17.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (11.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 3rd-least run-centric offense in the league (35.0% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Chargers.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chargers are anticipated by the model to call just 63.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.

The opposing side have run for the 8th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 96.0 per game) versus the Jaguars defense this year.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Jacksonville's unit has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the league.

More Justin Herbert Player Props

Justin Herbert Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11