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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.3 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (14.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.3% in games he has played).

The Arizona Cardinals defense has had the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up 5.14 yards-per-carry.

The Arizona Cardinals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 34.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for runners.

Justin Herbert has rushed for significantly fewer yards per game (9.0) this year than he did last year (18.0).

Justin Herbert's ground efficiency has worsened this year, averaging just 3.81 yards-per-carry vs a 6.03 mark last year.

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