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Justin Herbert
NFL · Player Props
Justin Herbert
QB · Los Angeles Chargers
Rushing Yards
Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 12, 2022 Updated Nov 27, 2022 9:01 PM UTC
NFL Props Justin Herbert Rushing Yards

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.3 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (14.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.3% in games he has played).
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense has had the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up 5.14 yards-per-carry.
  • The Arizona Cardinals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year with their run defense.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 34.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for runners.
  • Justin Herbert has rushed for significantly fewer yards per game (9.0) this year than he did last year (18.0).
  • Justin Herbert's ground efficiency has worsened this year, averaging just 3.81 yards-per-carry vs a 6.03 mark last year.
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