My Account Log Out
 
 
Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 256.5 (+112/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 250.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 256.5 @ +112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 61.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • Our trusted projections expect Justin Herbert to throw 36.6 passes in this game, on balance: the 6th-most among all quarterbacks.
  • Justin Herbert's 267.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season shows an impressive progression in his throwing proficiency over last season's 218.0 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 27.7 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Chargers grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.
  • This year, the stout Vikings defense has given up a puny 203.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™