My Account Log Out
 
 
Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 235.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 247.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 235.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 60.1% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Chargers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.5 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Justin Herbert has attempted 31.3 passes per game this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among QBs.
  • The Dallas Cowboys defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.9 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given the game dynamics and traits of each team, the predictive model expects this game (with an average of 26.63 seconds per play) will have the 11th-slowest tempo on the slate this week.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Chargers grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™