reorder

Justin Herbert Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Justin Herbert Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 216.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 203.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 216.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.7% pass rate.

The Chargers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.

Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally lead to increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

Justin Herbert has attempted 34.1 throws per game this year, grading out in the 87th percentile among QBs.

With a stellar tally of 228.0 adjusted passing yards per game (82nd percentile), Justin Herbert stands as one of the best quarterbacks in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Chargers to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.2 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Chargers profiles as the worst in the league this year.

This year, the tough Eagles defense has yielded a puny 63.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the best rate in the NFL.

The Eagles pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, giving up 7.22 adjusted yards-per-target: the 8th-fewest in football.

More Justin Herbert Player Props

Justin Herbert Passing YardsPlayer Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Justin Herbert Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 14