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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (+107/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • Justin Herbert has attempted 31.2 passes per game this year, grading out in the 78th percentile among QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.47 seconds per snap.

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