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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 13

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-127/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Chargers.
  • The Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.0 plays per game.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally mean better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced run volume.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Chargers, who are a heavy favorite by 9.5 points.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have only 122.9 plays on offense called: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The predictive model expects Justin Herbert to throw 32.3 passes this week, on average: the 10th-fewest out of all QBs.

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