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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Interceptions
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 61.8% of their downs: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a massive 59.3 per game on average).
  • The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • In this week's contest, Justin Herbert is expected by the model to have the 7th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.3.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (38.3 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chargers are expected by the model to run just 62.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have intercepted 1.11 balls per game this year, ranking as the 5th-best defense in football by this metric.

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