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Justin Herbert Completions
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+101/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 60.1% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The Chargers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Justin Herbert has attempted 31.3 passes per game this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among QBs.

The Dallas Cowboys defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.9 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and traits of each team, the predictive model expects this game (with an average of 26.63 seconds per play) will have the 11th-slowest tempo on the slate this week.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Chargers grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year.

More Justin Herbert Player Props

Justin Herbert CompletionsPlayer Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert Completions
Player Prop Week 16