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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

Justin Herbert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a massive 59.3 per game on average).

The Colts linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Chargers as the 5th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 38.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chargers are expected by the model to run just 62.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.

The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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