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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Chargers vs Washington Commanders

Justin Herbert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-132/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see 132.7 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.

The 10th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Chargers this year (a massive 58.8 per game on average).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to run on 38.9% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) usually correlate with increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Washington's group of LBs has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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