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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see 129.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.

While Justin Herbert has received 11.8% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's ground game in this game at 17.1%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to run on 40.4% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.6 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Las Vegas's collection of LBs has been fantastic since the start of last season, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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