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Justin Herbert Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans

Justin Herbert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-147/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -147.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this game, Justin Herbert is projected by the model to garner the 7th-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 5.2.

After taking on 11.4% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Justin Herbert has been called on more in the rushing attack this year, currently taking on 16.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to run on 41.8% of their downs: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.47 seconds per snap.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

The Texans safeties project as the 7th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

More Justin Herbert Player Props

Justin Herbert CarriesPlayer Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans

Justin Herbert Carries
Player Prop Week 17