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Justin Herbert Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Justin Herbert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Chargers, who are a heavy favorite by 9.5 points.

The Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.0 plays per game.

The model projects Justin Herbert to garner 5.1 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Justin Herbert has been a more important option in his team's running game this year (18.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (11.4%).

The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles rank as the 4th-worst collection of DTs in football this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the least run-centric offense in the league (35.4% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Chargers.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have only 122.9 plays on offense called: the fewest out of all the games this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally mean better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced run volume.

More Justin Herbert Player Props

Justin Herbert CarriesPlayer Prop Week 13

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Justin Herbert Carries
Player Prop Week 13