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Justin Herbert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-136/+124).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -136.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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With a 3-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a massive 61.1 per game on average).Justin Herbert has averaged 3.9 rush attempts per game this year, one of the highest rates in the league among QBs (81st percentile).Justin Herbert has been much more involved in his offense's run game this season (18.0% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (11.4%).When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Pittsburgh's unit has been dreadful this year, grading out as the worst in football. in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to be the 5th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.The projections expect the Chargers to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
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