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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Justin Fields Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+180/-280).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -220 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -280.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the projections to call 66.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • This year, the deficient Bengals defense has given up a whopping 2.43 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-worst rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the New York Jets as the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • In this week's contest, Justin Fields is projected by the projection model to average the 8th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 32.7.
  • The New York Jets O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 10th-most touchdowns in football (1.14 per game) versus the Bengals defense this year.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cincinnati's LB corps has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.

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