My Account Log Out
 
 
Justin Fields

Justin Fields Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Justin Fields Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+210/-270).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +225 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +210.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Jets being a huge -7-point underdog this week.
  • The projections expect the Jets to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (37.2 per game) this year.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the fewest touchdowns in football (0.40 per game) against the Denver Broncos defense this year.
  • The Broncos safeties rank as the 3rd-best safety corps in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the New York Jets as the 4th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • In this week's game, Justin Fields is expected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.7.
  • Our trusted projections expect Justin Fields to be a much bigger part of his team's ground game near the goal line in this contest (34.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (23.5% in games he has played).
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the New York Jets profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
  • Justin Fields has been one of the weakest touchdown throwers in the league this year, averaging a paltry 0.67 per game while grading out in the 24th percentile.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™