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Justin Fields Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

Justin Fields Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-255).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +250 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +225.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 59.0% rate of passing the ball near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football under these circumstances has been the New York Jets.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 131.0 total plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

This year, the deficient Cleveland Browns defense has been torched for a colossal 1.88 passing touchdowns per game to opposing teams: the 8th-biggest rate in the league.

This year, the imposing Browns run defense has allowed a measly 0.38 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-lowest rate in the league.

The Cleveland defensive ends grade out as the best collection of DEs in football this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 51.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

This week, Justin Fields is projected by the model to total the 2nd-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 30.0.

Opposing QBs have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.

Justin Fields isn't afraid to be involved in the run game near the end zone, accounting for 17.9% of his team's red zone rushing play calls this year (88th percentile among quarterbacks).

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the New York Jets grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

More Justin Fields Player Props

Justin Fields TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

Justin Fields Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10