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Justin Fields

Justin Fields TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Justin Fields TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-160/+152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +152 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +152.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 59.0% rate of passing the ball near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football under these circumstances has been the New York Jets.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 131.0 total plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • This year, the deficient Cleveland Browns defense has been torched for a colossal 1.88 passing touchdowns per game to opposing teams: the 8th-biggest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 51.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • This week, Justin Fields is projected by the model to total the 2nd-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 30.0.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the New York Jets grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
  • Justin Fields has been one of the worst TD passers in football this year, averaging a miserable 0.62 per game while checking in at the 17th percentile.

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