Justin Fields Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Justin Fields Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-118/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Jets offensive blueprint to lean 9.7% more towards the ground game than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.

The leading projections forecast the Jets as the 4th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 47.2% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

In this contest, Justin Fields is predicted by our trusted projection set to garner the 3rd-most rush attempts out of all QBs with 9.5.

Our trusted projections expect Justin Fields to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack in this contest (32.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (20.8% in games he has played).

Justin Fields has grinded out 30.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the league when it comes to quarterbacks (83rd percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual approach.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Jets have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.

Justin Fields's ground effectiveness has diminished this season, totaling a mere 3.81 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.94 mark last season.

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Justin Fields Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 2

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Justin Fields Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2