My Account Log Out
 
Justin Fields
NFL · Player Props
Justin Fields
QB · Chicago Bears
Rushing TD
Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders · Week 6, 2022 Updated Oct 13, 2022 11:16 PM EST
NFL Props Justin Fields Rushing TD

Justin Fields Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+200/-308).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +258 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +200.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the most run-centric offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 50.1% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack near the goal line this week (23.5% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (18.3% in games he has played).
  • Justin Fields has run for 0.20 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in the NFL among QBs (82nd percentile).
  • The Chicago Bears have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 14.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Chicago Bears have gone for it on 4th down 27.3% of the time since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NFL), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 49.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 7th-least touchdowns in the league (0.60 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year.
  • The Washington Commanders linebackers project as the 7th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
More Justin Fields Props Data by WriteNow™
About WriteNow