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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 5

New York Jets vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Justin Fields Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) generally lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume.
  • The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Jets to be the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 125.8 plays on offense run: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the New York Jets this year (a mere 53.2 per game on average).
  • Our trusted projections expect Justin Fields to attempt 28.7 passes in this game, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all QBs.

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