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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Justin Fields Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+112/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets will be rolling out backup quarterback Justin Fields in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jets offense to skew 10.6% more towards the rushing attack than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.
  • The predictive model expects the New York Jets to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the model to see just 123.6 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the New York Jets since the start of last season (just 55.4 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) generally mean decreased passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.

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