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Justin Fields Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Bears are a massive 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Opposing teams have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year: 6th-most in football.The Detroit Lions cornerbacks project as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in covering receivers.The Chicago Bears O-line has afforded their QB 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Chicago Bears will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 7.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 47.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-least plays run on the slate this week at 127.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Chicago Bears have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.9 plays per game.THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to attempt 27.8 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-least of all quarterbacks.
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