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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Completions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

Justin Fields Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Jets being a huge -7-point underdog this week.

The projections expect the Jets to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (37.2 per game) this year.

The Denver cornerbacks profile as the 10th-worst CB corps in football this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the New York Jets as the 4th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

In this week's game, Justin Fields is expected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.7.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the New York Jets profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.

This year, the strong Broncos defense has conceded a paltry 65.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-lowest rate in the league.

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