Justin Fields Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Completions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2024

Updated Oct 7, 2024 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Justin Fields Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 131.5 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 61.2 plays per game.
Justin Fields's 69.6% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a noteworthy growth in his passing precision over last season's 61.9% figure.
When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Dallas's unit has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 46.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Justin Fields to attempt 27.1 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest level in the league against the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season (65.4% Adjusted Completion%).

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