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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Carries
Player Prop Week 7

New York Jets vs Carolina Panthers

Justin Fields Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-180/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Jets as the most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.6% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being called for in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.

The leading projections forecast Justin Fields to garner 8.5 carries in this week's contest, on balance: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.

After accounting for 19.5% of his team's rush attempts last year, Justin Fields has been called on more in the running game this year, now accounting for 25.8%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have just 123.8 offensive plays run: the fewest among all games this week.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Carolina's unit has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

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