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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Carries
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

Justin Fields Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-165/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Jets to be the 5th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 45.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Jets to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

In this week's game, Justin Fields is predicted by the projections to garner the 3rd-most carries among all QBs with 8.4.

Justin Fields has been a more important option in his team's rushing attack this season (26.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (19.5%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Jets being a huge -7-point underdog this week.

The Broncos safeties rank as the 3rd-best safety corps in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

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