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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Carries
Player Prop Week 5

New York Jets vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Justin Fields Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jets to run on 51.3% of their opportunities: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • In this contest, Justin Fields is predicted by the projection model to garner the most rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 9.8.
  • After making up 19.5% of his team's carries last year, Justin Fields has been called on more in the running game this year, now taking on 27.4%.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Dallas's LB corps has been lousy this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 125.8 plays on offense run: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the New York Jets this year (a mere 53.2 per game on average).
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) generally lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume.

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