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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Carries
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Justin Fields Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 6.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

At the moment, the 7th-most run-focused team in football (40.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Jets.

The leading projections forecast Justin Fields to notch 7.8 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most among all QBs.

While Justin Fields has earned 18.8% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played last year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in New York's run game in this week's contest at 28.5%.

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Pittsburgh's group of DTs has been awful last year, grading out as the 4th-worst in football. in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Jets, who are -3-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Jets to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Jets last year (a mere 55.7 per game on average).

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