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Justin Fields Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to run on 49.2% of their chances: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) generally prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher ground volume.The projections expect Justin Fields to accumulate 9.2 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-most out of all quarterbacks.While Justin Fields has earned 26.1% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Chicago's run game in this game at 32.2%.The Bears offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL last year at run-game blocking.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard game plan.The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears offense to be the 9th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.72 seconds per snap.When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Minnesota's group of DTs has been very good this year, profiling as the 5th-best in football.
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