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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Justin Fields Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 4.5-point advantage, the Bears are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chicago Bears to run on 51.8% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The model projects Justin Fields to accrue 10.4 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance: the 2nd-most among all QBs.
  • Justin Fields isn't afraid to run the ball himself, making up 29.5% of his team's run game usage this year, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to QBs.
  • When it comes to blocking for ball-carriers (and the influence it has on all ground game statistics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 9th-best in football last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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