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Justice Hill Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

Justice Hill Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+660/-720).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -770 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -720.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling out backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Ravens are a big 7-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Rams defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (36.0 per game) this year.

With an extraordinary 10.0% Red Zone Target Rate (79th percentile) this year, Justice Hill has been among the pass-catching running backs with the most usage near the goal line in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-focused offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 56.4% pass rate.

The Baltimore Ravens have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 44.8 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.

As it relates to air yards, Justice Hill ranks in the paltry 15th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -5.0 per game.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

More Justice Hill Player Props

Justice Hill TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

Justice Hill Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6