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Justice Hill Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

Justice Hill Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+640/-680).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -950 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -680.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

With a remarkable 12.9% Red Zone Target Rate (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Justice Hill stands among the RB receiving threats with the most usage near the goal line in the league.

Justice Hill rates in the 93rd percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) with an impressive 21.0 mark this year.

Justice Hill grades out in the 87th percentile among RBs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a fantastic 0.20 per game.

The Houston Texans safeties profile as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 5th-most run-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 48.2% red zone run rate.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by the model to run just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Ravens have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 47.0 plays per game.

In regards to air yards, Justice Hill grades out in the measly 22nd percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -4.0 per game.

Justice Hill's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 92.7% to 81.0%.

More Justice Hill Player Props

Justice Hill TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

Justice Hill Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5