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Justice Hill Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Justice Hill Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+490/-800).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +510 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +490.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Justice Hill places in the 88th percentile for running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 18.0 figure this year.

Justice Hill ranks in the 76th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.10 per game.

The New York Jets defense has surrendered the 2nd-most receiving touchdowns in the league to running backs: 0.40 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-most run-heavy team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 48.3% red zone run rate.

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.

The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

More Justice Hill Player Props

Justice Hill TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Justice Hill Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12