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Justice Hill Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+630/-800).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -800 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -800.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the model to run 66.4 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.Justice Hill places in the 90th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with a monstrous 18.7 figure this year.Justice Hill grades out in the 76th percentile among running backs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging an exceptional 0.10 per game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.Right now, the 5th-most run-centric offense in football near the goal line (47.7% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 50.1 per game on average).Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.6 per game) this year.In regards to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Ravens profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year.
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