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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Baltimore Ravens vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Justice Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 50.6% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • With a fantastic total of 4.79 adjusted yards per carry (83rd percentile), Justice Hill places as one of the leading pure runners in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • Justice Hill rates as one of the top running backs in the NFL at generating extra running yardage, averaging an excellent 4.30 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 97th percentile.
  • This year, the fierce Chicago Bears run defense has yielded a mere 5.28 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing rushing attacks: the 30th-lowest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 132.7 total plays called: the 5th-most among all games this week.
  • The fewest plays in the league have been run by the Ravens this year (just 49.2 per game on average).
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Chicago's LB corps has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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