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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Justice Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the most run-focused team in the NFL (43.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.
  • With an excellent total of 5.01 adjusted yards per carry (84th percentile), Justice Hill ranks as one of the leading pure rushers in football since the start of last season.
  • With an outstanding record of 4.46 yards after contact (97th percentile), Justice Hill places among the strongest RBs in the NFL since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling out backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Ravens are a big 7-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 44.8 plays per game.
  • The Rams defense has produced the 5th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, allowing just 3.63 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
  • The Rams safeties grade out as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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